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Eibar B vs Sestao

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mateos E.
33' Event
Benito A.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Mateos E.

AI Match Summary

Eibar B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Eibar B
15%
Draws
54%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sestao haven't matched Eibar B's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Eibar B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Eibar B Clean Sheet 68%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar B Sestao
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Eibar B vs Sestao
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Eibar B vs Sestao
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Eibar B
1:0
Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sestao vs Eibar B
0:0
Sep 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Sestao
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateos E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Sestao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar B 46 / 100
Sestao 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar B Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar B scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sestao conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Eibar B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Eibar B VS Sestao
0.71 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar B

(Home)
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
29 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Eibar B
19 Aug
Eibar B
0 : 0
Sestao
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Sestao

(Away)
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)