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Eibar C vs Alaves C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ramos O.
49' Event
Giraldes O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Eibar C
20%
Draws
44%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alaves C lately — more wins on the board than Eibar C.
  • Model gives Alaves C a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 10%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Alaves C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Alaves C
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Eibar C
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Alaves C
2:5
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Eibar C
5:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Alaves C
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alaves C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 22 / 100
Alaves C 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Alaves C has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Eibar C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Alaves C
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
01 Nov
Eibar C
3 : 1
Beasain
25 Oct
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 2
Eibar C
18 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 1
Santurtzi
10 Oct
San Ignacio
2 : 1
Eibar C
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 6

Alaves C

(Away)
31 Oct
Alaves C
3 : 0
San Ignacio
25 Oct
Real Sociedad C
2 : 2
Alaves C
17 Oct
Alaves C
2 : 2
Leioa
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 9 5 4 0 24:10 19
2 Aurrera de Vitoria 9 6 1 2 14:14 19
3 Derio 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
4 UD Aretxabaleta 9 5 2 2 12:8 17
5 Alaves C 9 4 3 2 20:10 15
6 Real Sociedad C 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
7 Touring KE 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
8 San Ignacio 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
9 SCD Durango 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
10 Eibar C 8 3 2 3 13:11 11
11 Beasain 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
12 Sodupe 9 3 2 4 6:15 11
13 Pasaia 9 3 1 5 12:19 10
14 Santurtzi 9 3 0 6 7:12 9
15 Lagun Onak 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
16 SD Erandio 9 2 0 7 8:13 6
17 Real Union B 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
18 Amurrio Club 9 0 1 8 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)