Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eibar C vs Alaves C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ramos O.
49' Event
Giraldes O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Eibar C
35%
Draws
28%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alaves C lately — more wins on the board than Eibar C.
  • Model gives Eibar C a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 11%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Alaves C
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.39 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Alaves C
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Eibar C
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Alaves C
2:5
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Eibar C
5:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Alaves C
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alaves C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 83 / 100
Alaves C 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Eibar C remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Eibar C scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Alaves C let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Alaves C
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
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Alaves C

(Away)
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves C 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Sodupe 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Beasain 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 Real Sociedad C 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
5 Aurrera de Vitoria 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 UD Aretxabaleta 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 SD Erandio 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Santurtzi 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
9 Real Union B 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
10 San Ignacio 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
11 Leioa 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Eibar C 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Derio 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 SCD Durango 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
15 Touring KE 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Lagun Onak 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Pasaia 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 Amurrio Club 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)