Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eibar C vs Pasaia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Alvarez M.
77' Event
Ramos O.
77'
Fuente M.

AI Match Summary

Eibar C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Eibar C
30%
Draws
23%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Eibar C average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Pasaia's 0.8.
  • Win probability leans Eibar C's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 16%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Pasaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Pasaia
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Eibar C
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Eibar C
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Pasaia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pasaia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 84 / 100
Pasaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Eibar C has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Pasaia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
11 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 1
San Ignacio
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Pasaia

(Away)
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)