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Stadium Background

Eibar C vs Pasaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Alvarez M.
77' Event
Ramos O.
77'
Fuente M.

AI Match Summary

Eibar C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Eibar C
30%
Draws
47%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Eibar C average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Pasaia's 1.
  • Win probability leans Eibar C's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 20%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Pasaia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Pasaia
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Eibar C
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Eibar C
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Pasaia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Pasaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 36 / 100
Pasaia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Eibar C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Pasaia
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
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Pasaia

(Away)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)