Sport Picks
Eibar C vs San Ignacio Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar 
Match Events
59'
59'
Castillo J.
71'
71'
Alvarez M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eibar C
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Ignacio have won more games recently than Eibar C.
- Win probability leans Eibar C's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 68%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eibar C | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.51 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs San Ignacio
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Eibar C
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs San Ignacio
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Eibar C
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eibar C Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
San Ignacio Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eibar C 77 / 100
San Ignacio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eibar C San Ignacio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eibar C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Eibar C scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: San Ignacio conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Eibar C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eibar C VS San Ignacio
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Eibar C
(Home) 26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1 Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1 SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1 Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1 Alaves C
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1 Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1 SD Erandio
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1 Alaves C
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1 Santurtzi
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0 Pasaia
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0 SD Deusto
Page 1 of 3
San Ignacio
(Away) 27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1 Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3 Leioa
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4 San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3 San Ignacio
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
