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Stadium Background

Eibar C vs Zarautz KE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ortuzar H.
33' Event
Alvarez M.
68' Event
Sanchez Gonzalo E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Eibar C and Zarautz KE finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eibar C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Eibar C
30%
Draws
31%
Zarautz KE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eibar C come out ahead of Zarautz KE on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Eibar C taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 68%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Zarautz KE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Zarautz KE
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Eibar C
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortuzar H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Zarautz KE Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 68 / 100
Zarautz KE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Zarautz KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Eibar C scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Zarautz KE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Eibar C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Zarautz KE
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

Zarautz KE

(Away)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)