Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eibar vs Valladolid

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Alvarez S. In: Madariaga A.
Out: Alvarez S.
34'
Ojeda T.
46'
Sub
Pejino In: Gil I.
Out: Pejino

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between Eibar and Valladolid finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Eibar
15%
Draws
32%
Valladolid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eibar come out ahead of Valladolid on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Eibar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Eibar Clean Sheet 68%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar Valladolid
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Valladolid
1:0
Apr 13, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Eibar
0:0
Dec 19, 2025 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Valladolid
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Eibar
3:1
Oct 27, 2023 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Valladolid
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Valladolid Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar 68 / 100
Valladolid 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eibar scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Valladolid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Eibar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eibar VS Valladolid
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar

(Home)
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
16 Aug
Eibar
1 : 3
Tenerife
08 Aug
Real Union
1 : 1
Eibar
01 Aug
Eibar
5 : 0
Arenas Getxo
29 Jul
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Eibar
Page 1 of 6

Valladolid

(Away)
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0
Valladolid
08 Aug
Gijon
2 : 4
Valladolid
05 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 3
Valladolid
01 Aug
Groningen
1 : 0
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Tenerife 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Leganes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Gijon 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Castellon 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 FC Andorra 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
7 Almeria 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
8 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Cordoba 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Burgos CF 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11 Real Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 Eibar 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Sabadell 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
15 Celta Vigo B 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Granada CF 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 Girona 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
18 Real Oviedo 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
19 Eldense 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
20 Albacete 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
21 Valladolid 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
22 AD Ceuta 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
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