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Eibar vs Valladolid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Alvarez S. In: Madariaga A.
Out: Alvarez S.
34'
Ojeda T.
46'
Sub
Pejino In: Gil I.
Out: Pejino

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between Eibar and Valladolid finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Eibar
20%
Draws
51%
Valladolid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valladolid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eibar come out ahead of Valladolid on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Valladolid taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Eibar Clean Sheet 14%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar Valladolid
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Valladolid
1:0
Apr 13, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Eibar
0:0
Dec 19, 2025 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Valladolid
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Eibar
3:1
Oct 27, 2023 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Valladolid
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Valladolid Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar 11 / 100
Valladolid 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladolid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eibar scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Valladolid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Eibar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eibar VS Valladolid
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar

(Home)
31 Oct
Eibar
1 : 1
Almeria
24 Oct
Cordoba
2 : 0
Eibar
17 Oct
Eibar
1 : 1
Mallorca
12 Oct
Real Oviedo
3 : 1
Eibar
03 Oct
Albacete
1 : 3
Eibar
Page 1 of 6

Valladolid

(Away)
02 Nov
Valladolid
4 : 3
Leganes
29 Oct
Covadonga
0 : 1
Valladolid
23 Oct
Granada CF
2 : 1
Valladolid
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3
Eldense
12 Oct
Valladolid
5 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 12 8 3 1 23:5 27
2 Almeria 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
3 Eibar 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Granada CF 12 7 2 3 20:14 23
5 Mallorca 12 6 4 2 15:7 22
6 Gijon 12 7 1 4 13:13 22
7 Girona 12 6 3 3 22:11 21
8 Burgos CF 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
9 Real Oviedo 12 5 3 4 17:15 18
10 Sabadell 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
11 Las Palmas 12 5 2 5 17:21 17
12 Cordoba 12 5 1 6 19:22 16
13 Valladolid 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
14 Tenerife 12 3 6 3 15:17 15
15 Eldense 12 4 2 6 13:17 14
16 Celta Vigo B 12 3 4 5 18:23 13
17 Leganes 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
18 FC Andorra 12 3 2 7 17:22 11
19 Real Sociedad B 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
20 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 15:16 10
21 Albacete 12 2 1 9 10:23 7
22 AD Ceuta 12 1 2 9 10:27 5
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