Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eik-Tonsberg vs Baerum

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup Tønsberg Gressbane, Tonsberg
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
29' Event
33' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Eik-Tonsberg
15%
Draws
85%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baerum come out ahead of Eik-Tonsberg on wins alone.
  • Baerum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Baerum arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eik-Tonsberg, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eik-Tonsberg have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Eik-Tonsberg Clean Sheet 20%
Baerum Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eik-Tonsberg Baerum
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.29 3.21
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Eik-Tonsberg vs Baerum
4:2
Sep 30, 2001 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Eik-Tonsberg
3:3
Jun 22, 2001 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Baerum
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eik-Tonsberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Coric K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eik-Tonsberg 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eik-Tonsberg Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Eik-Tonsberg found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Baerum's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eik-Tonsberg VS Baerum
1.25 Goals Scored 4.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Eik-Tonsberg

(Home)
22 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 4
Honefoss
15 Aug
Mjondalen
2 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
09 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 1
Traeff
02 Aug
Vidar
4 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
25 Jul
Eik-Tonsberg
5 : 6
Sandviken
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Baerum

(Away)
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
10 Aug
Baerum
5 : 1
KFUM Oslo 2
01 Aug
Heming
3 : 1
Baerum
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3
Valerenga 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
2 Grorud 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
3 Lorenskog 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
4 Eik-Tonsberg 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
5 Baerum 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skeid 4 3 1 0 14:6 10
2 Honefoss 4 2 1 1 13:8 7
3 Asker 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
4 Ull/Kisa 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
5 Lokomotiv Oslo 4 0 1 3 3:14 1
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)