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Stadium Background

Eilenburg vs Chemnitzer

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Niemitz M.
41' Event
Alberico D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Eilenburg
20%
Draws
61%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Chemnitzer have won more games recently than Eilenburg.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Chemnitzer taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eilenburg Chemnitzer
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.27 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Chemnitzer
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Eilenburg
2:2
May 9, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Chemnitzer
2:2
Nov 24, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Eilenburg
1:0
May 12, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Chemnitzer
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eilenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Niemitz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberico D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eilenburg 10 / 100
Chemnitzer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eilenburg Chemnitzer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Eilenburg's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chemnitzer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Eilenburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eilenburg VS Chemnitzer
1.33 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eilenburg

(Home)
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
04 Jul
Eilenburg
0 : 4
Babelsberg
16 May
Eilenburg
0 : 5
Hallescher
08 May
Chemie Leipzig
3 : 2
Eilenburg
Page 1 of 6

Chemnitzer

(Away)
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
09 Aug
Hallescher
0 : 0
Chemnitzer
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Zwickau
31 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
BFC Preussen
25 Jul
Hertha Berlin II
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)