Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Jan Louwers Stadion

Maastricht

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eindhoven FC play Maastricht in the Eerste Divisie. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eindhoven FC averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Maastricht averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Eindhoven FC won 1, Maastricht won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Eindhoven FC and 1.13 for Maastricht. This points to a Eindhoven FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Eindhoven FC

22%

Draws

30%

Maastricht

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Eindhoven FC picked up more points recently compared to Maastricht.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 21%

Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eindhoven FC	Maastricht
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	5
Draws	4	9
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.64	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.79	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven FC vs Maastricht

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

5:0

Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Maastricht vs Eindhoven FC

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Feb 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Maastricht vs Eindhoven FC

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Nov 17, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven FC vs Maastricht

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Jan 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven FC vs Maastricht

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eindhoven FC 47 / 100

Maastricht 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eindhoven FC Maastricht

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Eindhoven FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eindhoven FC attacking → ← attacking Maastricht

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eindhoven FC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Maastricht let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Eindhoven FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maastricht lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 24

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75