Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Jan Louwers Stadion

Match Events

30'

Meerstadt J.

33'

Neeskens J.

48'

Blomme X.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eindhoven FC host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. De Graafschap have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Eindhoven FC have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor De Graafschap slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.31 - 2.00) back De Graafschap to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Eindhoven FC

Draws

De Graafschap

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

De Graafschap has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Eindhoven FC.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Eindhoven FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%

De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eindhoven FC	De Graafschap
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	14
Draws	4	6
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Nov 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap vs Eindhoven FC

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Apr 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sep 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap vs Eindhoven FC

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Jan 19, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eindhoven FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Simons S.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwint K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eindhoven FC 83 / 100

De Graafschap 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eindhoven FC De Graafschap

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eindhoven FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

De Graafschap let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Eindhoven FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

De Graafschap lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eindhoven FC VS De Graafschap

1.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	44
16	TOP Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	44
17	Jong AZ Alkmaar	38	12	4	22	61:76	40
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	35