Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eintracht Trier vs Mainz II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Wrusch M.
Own Goal
50' Event
Derstroff J.
55' Event
Videira J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Eintracht Trier and Mainz II finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Eintracht Trier
30%
Draws
34%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eintracht Trier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Eintracht Trier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eintracht Trier are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Eintracht Trier Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eintracht Trier Mainz II
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs Mainz II
0:5
Sep 30, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Eintracht Trier
3:2
May 4, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs Mainz II
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Eintracht Trier vs Mainz II
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Eintracht Trier
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eintracht Trier Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Derstroff J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Videira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eintracht Trier 36 / 100
Mainz II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eintracht Trier Mainz II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eintracht Trier's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Mainz II has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Eintracht Trier went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eintracht Trier VS Mainz II
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522