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Ejido vs Motril

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Moffat A.
60'
Es Sakaf H.
72' Event
Lopez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Ejido and Motril finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ejido
35%
Draws
56%
Motril
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Motril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Motril's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ejido Clean Sheet 16%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ejido Motril
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Motril
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Ejido
0:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Motril
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Ejido
1:0
Jul 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ejido vs Motril
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ejido Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Moffat A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ejido 11 / 100
Motril 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ejido Motril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ejido found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Motril has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ejido stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Motril
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ejido

(Home)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 6

Motril

(Away)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)