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Ekenas IF vs TPS

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Own Goal
38' Event
Peltola A.

AI Match Summary

Ekenas IF in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ekenas IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ekenas IF
35%
Draws
35%
TPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPS lately — more wins on the board than Ekenas IF.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TPS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 20%
TPS Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekenas IF TPS
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ekenas IF vs TPS
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Ekenas IF vs TPS
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Ekenas IF
4:0
Jul 25, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs TPS
0:2
Jun 2, 2025 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs Ekenas IF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekenas IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Peltola A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

TPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekenas IF 32 / 100
TPS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekenas IF TPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ekenas IF scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: TPS conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ekenas IF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ekenas IF VS TPS
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekenas IF

(Home)
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 2
Jippo
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
16 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 2
Ekenas IF
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TPS

(Away)
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
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