Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ekhaya vs Civo Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ekhaya host Civo Utd in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Civo Utd have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Ekhaya have conceded 1 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Civo Utd slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 0.75, favoring Civo Utd. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ekhaya
30%
Draws
47%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Civo Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Civo Utd have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 20%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekhaya Civo Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super League
Civo Utd vs Ekhaya
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Ekhaya
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Civo Utd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekhaya 32 / 100
Civo Utd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekhaya Civo Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Civo Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Civo Utd conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Ekhaya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ekhaya VS Civo Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekhaya

(Home)
18 Oct
Red Lions
0 : 0
Ekhaya
10 Oct
Ekhaya
2 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

Civo Utd

(Away)
17 Oct
Civo Utd
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
11 Oct
Karonga United
1 : 0
Civo Utd
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 17 10 6 1 25:7 36
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 17 10 5 2 29:11 35
3 Blue Eagles 17 11 1 5 27:18 34
4 Silver Strikers 17 9 5 3 24:11 32
5 Chitipa United 17 7 3 7 13:19 24
6 Ekhaya 17 5 7 5 17:14 22
7 Masters FC 16 6 4 6 17:17 22
8 Mitundu Baptist 17 5 7 5 14:15 22
9 Red Lions 17 5 7 5 13:14 22
10 Moyale Barracks 17 5 6 6 17:20 21
11 Civo Utd 17 6 3 8 11:16 21
12 Dedza Dynamos 17 4 7 6 11:20 19
13 Karonga United 16 4 5 7 15:23 17
14 Kamuzu Barracks 17 3 4 10 16:25 13
15 Creck Sporting 17 3 4 10 13:22 13
16 MAFCO 17 3 4 10 12:22 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)