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Ekiti United vs First Bank Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ekiti United in this NNL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ekiti United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ekiti United
15%
Draws
37%
First Bank
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ekiti United lately — more wins on the board than First Bank.
  • Ekiti United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 20%
First Bank Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekiti United First Bank
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 NNL
Ekiti United vs First Bank
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 NNL
First Bank vs Ekiti United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekiti United 58 / 100
First Bank 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekiti United First Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekiti United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekiti United found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

First Bank let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Ekiti United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ekiti United VS First Bank
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekiti United

(Home)
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2
Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0
Ekiti United
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First Bank

(Away)
16 Apr
First Bank
3 : 3
Godswill Akpabio
04 Apr
Sporting Lagos
5 : 0
First Bank
01 Apr
First Bank
1 : 0
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
15 Mar
Stormers
3 : 1
First Bank
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)