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Ekiti United vs Rovers FC

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Ekiti United and Rovers FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ekiti United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ekiti United
20%
Draws
38%
Rovers FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ekiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekiti United's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Rovers FC have produced (0.63).
  • Model gives Ekiti United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 20%
Rovers FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekiti United Rovers FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 NNL
Ekiti United vs Rovers FC
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 NNL
Rovers FC vs Ekiti United
2:1
Apr 3, 2024 NNL
Rovers FC vs Ekiti United
2:1
Jan 7, 2024 NNL
Ekiti United vs Rovers FC
2:1
May 18, 2019 NNL
Rovers FC vs Ekiti United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekiti United 42 / 100
Rovers FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekiti United Rovers FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Ekiti United scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rovers FC conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Ekiti United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ekiti United VS Rovers FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekiti United

(Home)
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2
Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0
Ekiti United
Page 1 of 6

Rovers FC

(Away)
16 Apr
Rovers FC
1 : 0
Abakaliki
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
08 Apr
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Godswill Akpabio
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
2Beyond Limits FC1677223:1328
3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
5Sunshine Stars1674518:1425
6Edel FC1662814:2020
7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
6Bichi First1243511:915
7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)