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Ekranas vs Dainava Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ekranas host Dainava Alytus in the I Lyga. This has Dainava Alytus written all over it on paper. Dainava Alytus have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Ekranas have conceded 2.34 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Ekranas have won 2 to Dainava Alytus's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Dainava Alytus to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ekranas
15%
Draws
49%
Dainava Alytus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekranas haven't matched Dainava Alytus's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dainava Alytus's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 12%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekranas Dainava Alytus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Ekranas
2:0
Aug 12, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Ekranas
2:1
Apr 1, 2022 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Dainava Alytus
2:0
Jun 17, 2020 Lithuanian Cup
Ekranas vs Dainava Alytus
1:2
Sep 25, 2014 TOPLYGA
Ekranas vs Dainava Alytus
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekranas 22 / 100
Dainava Alytus 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekranas Dainava Alytus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ekranas scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dainava Alytus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dainava Alytus has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ekranas VS Dainava Alytus
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekranas

(Home)
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

Dainava Alytus

(Away)
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)