Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ekranas vs Neptunas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Urbys S.
55' Event
Urbys S.
78'
Ajayi S. B.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Ekranas and Neptunas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neptunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ekranas
20%
Draws
57%
Neptunas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neptunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neptunas come out ahead of Ekranas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neptunas a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Neptunas here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekranas Neptunas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Neptunas
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Ekranas
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Neptunas
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Ekranas
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Neptunas
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekranas Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamulevicius E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Neptunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbys S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekranas 10 / 100
Neptunas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekranas Neptunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ekranas found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Neptunas conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Ekranas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ekranas VS Neptunas
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekranas

(Home)
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Jul
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Ekranas
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4
BFA Vilnius
02 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 0
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

Neptunas

(Away)
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2
Neptunas
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Neptunas
25 Jul
Neptunas
2 : 1
Siauliai 2
20 Jul
Transinvest 2
2 : 2
Neptunas
27 Jun
Dainava Alytus
1 : 0
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 19 16 1 2 48:11 49
2 FK Babrungas 19 15 3 1 32:6 48
3 Neptunas 19 12 2 5 27:20 38
4 Tauras Taurage 19 11 2 6 35:22 35
5 Dainava Alytus 18 10 4 4 32:18 34
6 BE1 NFA 18 10 2 6 29:23 32
7 BFA Vilnius 19 10 1 8 29:29 31
8 FK Atmosfera 18 7 4 7 29:22 25
9 Zalgiris 2 18 7 4 7 25:26 25
10 Jonava 19 6 5 8 23:24 23
11 Garliava 18 6 4 8 23:19 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 19 5 1 13 20:43 16
13 Transinvest 2 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
14 Ekranas 19 3 2 14 19:37 11
15 Siauliai 2 19 2 5 12 17:41 11
16 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 18 3 1 14 12:31 10
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)