Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El-Ahli Atbara vs Hay al-Arab

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El-Ahli Atbara play Hay al-Arab in the Premier League 2019/2020. Hay al-Arab are favorites here. Recently, El-Ahli Atbara averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. Hay al-Arab averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, El-Ahli Atbara won 1, Hay al-Arab won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2020 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for El-Ahli Atbara and 1.00 for Hay al-Arab. This points to a Hay al-Arab double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
El-Ahli Atbara
25%
Draws
60%
Hay al-Arab
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hay al-Arab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • El-Ahli Atbara picked up more points recently compared to Hay al-Arab.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
El-Ahli Atbara Clean Sheet 23%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El-Ahli Atbara Hay al-Arab
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2020 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Hay al-Arab
0:3
Nov 17, 2019 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs El-Ahli Atbara
3:2
Apr 6, 2018 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Hay al-Arab
2:1
Feb 5, 2018 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs El-Ahli Atbara
3:2
Oct 29, 2017 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs El-Ahli Atbara
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El-Ahli Atbara 18 / 100
Hay al-Arab 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El-Ahli Atbara Hay al-Arab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hay al-Arab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hay al-Arab & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

El-Ahli Atbara attacking → ← attacking Hay al-Arab

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El-Ahli Atbara scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Hay al-Arab let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

El-Ahli Atbara went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Hay al-Arab lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh32235460:1774
2Al-Hilal Omdurman32216562:1969
3Hilal El Obied321610649:2458
4Alamal SC Atbara321411743:2953
5Hay Al Wadi321213729:2249
6Hay al-Arab321471138:4249
7Merreikh El-Fasher321391038:3048
8Al-Khartoum321113830:1846
9Ahli Shendi321351442:3544
10Al-Ahly Merowe321181328:3541
11Ahli Khartoum321091337:4139
12Hilal El-Fasher329101328:3937
13Al Hilal Kadougli327111429:4632
14Al Shorta32881633:5232
15Alfalah Atbra32791629:4830
16Rabita Kosti32752027:5826
17El-Ahli Atbara32452326:7317