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El Alamo vs Collado Villalba

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Alonso Moran J.
55'
Frey D.
84' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Alamo
44%
Draws
20%
Collado Villalba
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Collado Villalba have won more games recently than El Alamo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 12%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Collado Villalba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Collado Villalba
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs El Alamo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Alamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Collado Villalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso Moran J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 35 / 100
Collado Villalba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Collado Villalba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Alamo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Collado Villalba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

El Alamo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Alamo VS Collado Villalba
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122