Sport Picks

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El Alamo vs Tres Cantos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Amaya I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between El Alamo and Tres Cantos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tres Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
El Alamo
15%
Draws
36%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Alamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tres Cantos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Tres Cantos
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Tres Cantos
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs El Alamo
2:1
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Tres Cantos
0:0
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs El Alamo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Alamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaya I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 41 / 100
Tres Cantos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Alamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Alamo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tres Cantos has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Tres Cantos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tres Cantos
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alamo

(Home)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 6

Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)