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El Bayadh vs Mostaganem Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Kaidi I. E.
23'
Sub
Slimane A. In: Mesmoudi B.
Out: Slimane A.
46'
Sub
Adjout L. In: Belmiloud K.
Out: Adjout L.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between El Bayadh and Mostaganem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Bayadh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
El Bayadh
35%
Draws
41%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mostaganem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • El Bayadh haven't matched Mostaganem's recent run of results.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Bayadh Mostaganem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.55 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs El Bayadh
2:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Mostaganem
1:0
May 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs El Bayadh
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Mostaganem
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Bayadh 41 / 100
Mostaganem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Bayadh Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Bayadh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostaganem has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: El Bayadh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

El Bayadh scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

El Bayadh VS Mostaganem
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

El Bayadh

(Home)
26 Sept
El Bayadh
0 : 0
GC Mascara
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
Page 1 of 6

Mostaganem

(Away)
26 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Hussein Dey
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)