Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Bayadh vs Tlemcen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Bayadh host Tlemcen in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: El Bayadh at 0.52 goals for, 1.24 against; Tlemcen at 0.97 for, 1.13 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.94 - 1.19) back Tlemcen to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
El Bayadh
30%
Draws
47%
Tlemcen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tlemcen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tlemcen lately — more wins on the board than El Bayadh.
  • El Bayadh are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 20%
Tlemcen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Bayadh Tlemcen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.52 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Bayadh 36 / 100
Tlemcen 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Bayadh Tlemcen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tlemcen conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: El Bayadh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Tlemcen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

El Bayadh's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

El Bayadh VS Tlemcen
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Bayadh

(Home)
03 Oct
Kolea
1 : 0
El Bayadh
26 Sept
El Bayadh
0 : 0
GC Mascara
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
Page 1 of 6

Tlemcen

(Away)
26 Sept
RC Kouba
2 : 0
Tlemcen
19 Sept
Tlemcen
2 : 1
JSM Tiaret
08 May
CR Temouchent
2 : 0
Tlemcen
01 May
Tlemcen
2 : 0
Kolea
25 Apr
JS El Biar
1 : 0
Tlemcen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annaba 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Skikda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Magra 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
4 Azazga 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 MO Constantine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 MSP Batna 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Khroub 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 MO Bejaia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Paradou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Beni Oulbane 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 IRB Nezla 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 US Chaouia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 JS Djijel 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Telaghema 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
15 CA Batna 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Beni Thour 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Kouba 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Harrach 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 USM Blida 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 Saida 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 GC Mascara 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 WA Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Sidi Benali 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
9 ASM Oran 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
10 Hussein Dey 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
11 Tlemcen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Kolea 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
13 El Bayadh 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
14 JSM Tiaret 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
15 Arba 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Taghit 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)