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El Bayadh vs USM Alger Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Zakaria Medjdoub Stadium, El Bayadh
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Belkhadem M.
62'
Sub
Amokrane A. In: Belmiloud K.
Out: Amokrane A.
67'
Likonza G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between El Bayadh and USM Alger finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
El Bayadh
35%
Draws
49%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Alger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans USM Alger's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 22%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Bayadh USM Alger
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 2 14
Draws 11 17
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs USM Alger
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs El Bayadh
1:1
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs USM Alger
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs El Bayadh
1:0
May 10, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs El Bayadh
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Bayadh 29 / 100
USM Alger 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Bayadh USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger has conceded goals in 64% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

El Bayadh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

El Bayadh scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

El Bayadh VS USM Alger
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Bayadh

(Home)
26 Sept
El Bayadh
0 : 0
GC Mascara
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)