Sport Picks
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Mercadal
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
El Espinar Sant Rafel play Mercadal in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, El Espinar Sant Rafel averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Mercadal averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, El Espinar Sant Rafel won 0, Mercadal won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 9, 2022 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for El Espinar Sant Rafel and 0.99 for Mercadal. This points to a Mercadal double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- El Espinar Sant Rafel picked up more points recently compared to Mercadal.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Espinar Sant Rafel | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.32 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Espinar Sant Rafel scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Mercadal let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
El Espinar Sant Rafel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mercadal lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 40 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 105:27 | 101 |
| 2 | Manacor | 40 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 74:42 | 82 |
| 3 | UD Poblense | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 89:24 | 80 |
| 4 | Platges de Calvia | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 56:27 | 77 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 40 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 62:36 | 75 |
| 6 | Santanyi | 40 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 66:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Constancia | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 54:38 | 69 |
| 8 | PE Sant Jordi | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 57:46 | 68 |
| 9 | Portmany | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 55:51 | 62 |
| 10 | Collerense | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 45:49 | 58 |
| 11 | Soller | 40 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 46:52 | 57 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 40:44 | 51 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 54:51 | 45 |
| 14 | Inter Ibiza | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 51:62 | 43 |
| 15 | Rotlet Molinar | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 35:53 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Campos | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 38:64 | 40 |
| 18 | Felanitx | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43:65 | 38 |
| 19 | Serverense | 40 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 35:74 | 31 |
| 20 | Murense | 40 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31:76 | 23 |
| 21 | Son Veri | 40 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 28:121 | 15 |