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El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 game between El Espinar Sant Rafel and Portmany finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Espinar Sant Rafel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
35%
Draws
32%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • El Espinar Sant Rafel haven't matched Portmany's recent run of results.
  • Model gives El Espinar Sant Rafel a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 20%
Portmany Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Espinar Sant Rafel Portmany
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Portmany
4:2
Oct 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:2
May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Portmany
1:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Espinar Sant Rafel 36 / 100
Portmany 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Espinar Sant Rafel Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Portmany conceded in 79% of 39 recent games.

El Espinar Sant Rafel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

El Espinar Sant Rafel found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

El Espinar Sant Rafel VS Portmany
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Espinar Sant Rafel

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0
El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3
Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
03 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 0
Soller
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Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)