Sport Picks
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: El Gaish at 0.93 goals for, 0.93 against; Al Ittihad Alexandria at 1.03 for, 0.8 against. Past meetings favor Al Ittihad Alexandria slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Al Ittihad Alexandria to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- El Gaish carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- El Gaish have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad Alexandria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Gaish | Al Ittihad Alexandria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: El Gaish scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: El Gaish remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Al Ittihad Alexandria has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
El Gaish
(Home)Al Ittihad Alexandria
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZED FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | El Gaish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 5 | Zamalek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modern Sport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Smouha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Qanah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 5 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Enppi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 5 | Asyut Petroleum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Abu Qir Semad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Petrojet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |