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El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Thu, Jan 14, 2027
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: El Gaish at 0.93 goals for, 0.93 against; Al Ittihad Alexandria at 1.03 for, 0.8 against. Past meetings favor Al Ittihad Alexandria slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Al Ittihad Alexandria to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
El Gaish
15%
Draws
48%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • El Gaish carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • El Gaish have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad Alexandria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gaish Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish
0:1
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gaish 32 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gaish Al Ittihad Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Gaish scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: El Gaish remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

El Gaish VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gaish

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
ZED FC
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
El Gaish
1 : 0
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)