Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Toure M.
36' Event
Souissi H.
Assist: Omran R.
38'
Hany M.

AI Match Summary

El Gaish host Ghazl El Mahallah in the League Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. El Gaish have averaged 0.63 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Ghazl El Mahallah's 1 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, El Gaish have won 3 to Ghazl El Mahallah's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 0.81, favoring El Gaish. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Gaish
44%
Draws
20%
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gaish has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ghazl El Mahallah.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Cup provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 26%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gaish Ghazl El Mahallah
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 14
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Gaish
0:0
Dec 30, 2025 League Cup
El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Gaish
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Souissi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gaish 38 / 100
Ghazl El Mahallah 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gaish Ghazl El Mahallah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gaish scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Ghazl El Mahallah let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

El Gaish went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ghazl El Mahallah lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gaish VS Ghazl El Mahallah
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92