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El Gouna vs Al Ittihad Alexandria

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Khaled Bichara Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
El Zahdi A. In: Emad M.
Out: El Zahdi A.
65'
Sub
Ebuka J. In: Farid F.
Out: Ebuka J.
65'
Sub
Mohamed A. In: Alaa N.
Out: Mohamed A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
El Gouna
40%
Draws
29%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gouna have won more games recently than Al Ittihad Alexandria.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gouna
0:2
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
Feb 17, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gouna
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 42 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Al Ittihad Alexandria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gouna's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

El Gouna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220