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Stadium Background

El Gouna vs Al Masry

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Temine M.
Assist: Mansour A.
63'
Sub
Refaat A. In: Gamal A.
Out: Refaat A.
63'
Sub
Shika S. In: El Zahdi A.
Out: Shika S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
El Gouna
20%
Draws
42%
Al Masry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • El Gouna haven't matched Al Masry's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Masry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Masry, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Al Masry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 League Cup
Al Masry vs El Gouna
2:2
Mar 26, 2026 League Cup
El Gouna vs Al Masry
0:2
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Al Masry
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Al Masry vs El Gouna
0:0
Jul 1, 2024 Premier League
Al Masry vs El Gouna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Temine M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 42 / 100
Al Masry 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Al Masry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Gouna scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Al Masry has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: El Gouna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Al Masry
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1
Modern Sport
28 May
Petrojet
1 : 2
El Gouna
22 May
El Gouna
2 : 1
El Gaish
Page 1 of 6

Al Masry

(Away)
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
08 Jun
Enppi
0 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Enppi 4
Petrojet 1
Wadi Degla 4
El Gaish 3
ZED FC 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1
El Gouna 2
Al Masry 4
Semi-finals
Enppi 1
Wadi Degla 0
ZED FC 1
Al Masry 2
Final
Enppi 0
Al Masry 3
Wadi Degla 2
ZED FC 0