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El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gamal M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Refaat M. In: Kamal O.
Out: Refaat M.
55'
Sub
Ojo T. In: Reda M.
Out: Ojo T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between El Gouna and Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
El Gouna
20%
Draws
73%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) come out ahead of El Gouna on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 21%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 13 14
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.72 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
2:0
Sep 2, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:1
May 8, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 12 / 100
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

El Gouna scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: El Gouna remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
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Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

(Away)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)