Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Gouna vs Petrojet

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
El Badry M.
Assist: Moussa B.
33' Event
Okasha M.
Assist: El Badry M.
46'
Sub
Gamal A. In: Essam M.
Out: Gamal A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between El Gouna and Petrojet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petrojet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
El Gouna
30%
Draws
54%
Petrojet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Petrojet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • El Gouna haven't matched Petrojet's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on El Gouna taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 16%
Petrojet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Petrojet
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 14 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:2
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 League Cup
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:3
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 League Cup
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer El Shimi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Petrojet Compare

Top Goalscorer El Badry M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okasha M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 36 / 100
Petrojet 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Petrojet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrojet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

El Gouna's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: El Gouna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Petrojet
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1
Modern Sport
Page 1 of 7

Petrojet

(Away)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)