Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
El Gouna host Smouha in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. El Gouna have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Smouha's 0.83 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor El Gouna slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.63) point toward El Gouna. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Smouha come out ahead of El Gouna on wins alone.
- Model gives El Gouna a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Gouna | Smouha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Gouna's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Smouha let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Smouha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
El Gouna
(Home)Smouha
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Zamalek | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Modern Sport | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 7 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | El Gaish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | National Bank Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qir Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petroleum | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | 1 |
