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El Gouna vs Zamalek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League
Mon, Nov 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Gouna host Zamalek in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. El Gouna have averaged 0.73 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Zamalek's 1.21 scored and 0.61 conceded. Head-to-head, El Gouna have won 1 to Zamalek's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.63, favoring Zamalek. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
El Gouna
15%
Draws
85%
Zamalek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Zamalek have won more games recently than El Gouna.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Zamalek taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 14%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Zamalek
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 18
Draws 13 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Premier League
Zamalek vs El Gouna
1:1
Mar 19, 2025 League Cup
Zamalek vs El Gouna
1:1
Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Zamalek vs El Gouna
4:1
Aug 2, 2024 Premier League
Zamalek vs El Gouna
1:0
Mar 12, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs Zamalek
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 27 / 100
Zamalek 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Zamalek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

El Gouna found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Zamalek has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Zamalek lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Zamalek
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
19 Oct
El Gouna
0 : 2
Smouha
13 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
2 : 1
El Gouna
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
Page 1 of 6

Zamalek

(Away)
20 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
Zamalek
16 Oct
APR
0 : 1
Zamalek
11 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 2
Al Ahly
07 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 3
ZED FC
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 7 7 0 0 17:3 21
2 Al Ahly 7 5 2 0 14:6 17
3 Zamalek 7 5 1 1 9:3 16
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 7 5 0 2 13:7 15
5 Modern Sport 7 4 1 2 12:9 13
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 7 3 2 2 10:6 11
8 ZED FC 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
9 National Bank Egypt 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
10 Smouha 7 3 1 3 4:4 10
11 Al Qanah 7 1 5 1 9:9 8
12 Petrojet 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Al Masry 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
14 Wadi Degla 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
15 El Gaish 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
16 Asyut Petroleum 7 1 2 4 3:7 5
17 Enppi 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
18 Ghazl El Mahallah 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
19 Abu Qir Semad 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
20 El Gouna 7 0 2 5 4:10 2
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)