Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup El-Kanemi Stadium, Maiduguri
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Confederation Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: El Kanemi Warriors at 1.03 goals for, 1.28 against; Raja Casablanca at 1.33 for, 0.67 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.54 - 1.04) back Raja Casablanca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
El Kanemi Warriors
20%
Draws
38%
Raja Casablanca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Kanemi Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raja Casablanca lately — more wins on the board than El Kanemi Warriors.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on El Kanemi Warriors taking it.
  • Raja Casablanca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
El Kanemi Warriors Clean Sheet 20%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Raja Casablanca
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Kanemi Warriors 49 / 100
Raja Casablanca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Kanemi Warriors Raja Casablanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Kanemi Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Kanemi Warriors's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

El Kanemi Warriors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Raja Casablanca has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Kanemi Warriors VS Raja Casablanca
1.71 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Kanemi Warriors

(Home)
13 Sept
UDIB
1 : 0
El Kanemi Warriors
06 Sept
El Kanemi Warriors
3 : 0
UDIB
11 Jul
El Kanemi Warriors
1 : 0
Ikorodu City
17 Jun
El Kanemi Warriors
3 : 1
Wikki Tourists
11 Jun
Sokoto United
0 : 1
El Kanemi Warriors
Page 1 of 6

Raja Casablanca

(Away)
08 Oct
Maghreb Fez
0 : 0
Raja Casablanca
03 Oct
Raja Casablanca
1 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -