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El Kerma vs OM Arzew

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
49' Event
72' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
El Kerma
20%
Draws
0%
OM Arzew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Kerma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • El Kerma have won more games recently than OM Arzew.
  • El Kerma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
El Kerma Clean Sheet 68%
OM Arzew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Kerma OM Arzew
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.11 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2021 Ligue 2
OM Arzew vs El Kerma
2:2
Mar 11, 2021 Ligue 2
El Kerma vs OM Arzew
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Kerma 95 / 100
OM Arzew 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Kerma OM Arzew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Kerma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OM Arzew let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

OM Arzew lost 5 of their last 5 games.

El Kerma's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

El Kerma VS OM Arzew
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Kerma

(Home)
11 Jan
US Chaouia
2 : 1
El Kerma
03 Jan
El Kerma
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
26 Jun
SC Ain Defla
3 : 0
El Kerma
19 Jun
El Kerma
1 : 1
ASM Oran
05 Jun
Remchi
0 : 0
El Kerma
Page 1 of 6

OM Arzew

(Away)
26 Jun
JSM Tiaret
6 : 2
OM Arzew
19 Jun
OM Arzew
1 : 3
CR Temouchent
05 Jun
RC Oued Rhiou
2 : 1
OM Arzew
01 Jun
OM Arzew
2 : 4
Ain Ouessara
27 May
OM Arzew
0 : 1
El Khemis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelghoum 22 12 7 3 32:18 43
2 Annaba 22 11 8 3 24:8 41
3 US Chaouia 22 10 8 4 35:21 38
4 Khenchela 22 10 8 4 27:20 38
5 Telaghema 22 10 4 8 27:18 34
6 MO Constantine 22 9 6 7 27:28 33
7 CA Batna 22 9 5 8 22:19 32
8 Eulma 22 8 6 8 23:24 30
9 Khroub 22 5 7 10 20:31 22
10 Ouled Djellal 22 5 5 12 24:29 20
11 MSP Batna 22 5 2 15 20:36 17
12 Tadjenant 22 4 2 16 24:53 14
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oued Sly 22 15 5 2 36:13 50
2 CR Temouchent 22 14 4 4 31:14 46
3 ASM Oran 22 12 6 4 30:17 42
4 JSM Tiaret 22 11 6 5 38:23 39
5 Saida 22 9 4 9 30:28 31
6 Ain Ouessara 22 7 6 9 30:33 27
7 El Khemis 22 8 3 11 15:21 27
8 SC Ain Defla 22 6 7 9 25:35 25
9 RC Oued Rhiou 22 6 5 11 16:29 23
10 Remchi 22 6 4 12 24:33 22
11 El Kerma 22 4 9 9 26:32 21
12 OM Arzew 22 2 5 15 21:44 11
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arba 22 12 5 5 30:15 41
2 Bejaia 22 12 5 5 29:22 41
3 MO Bejaia 22 10 8 4 22:11 38
4 RC Kouba 22 8 9 5 24:21 33
5 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 22 8 9 5 22:22 33
6 Harrach 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
7 ES Ben Aknoun 22 7 10 5 22:14 31
8 Beni Thour 22 8 5 9 28:26 29
9 Lakhdaria 22 7 8 7 18:16 29
10 Amal Bou Saada 22 8 2 12 26:35 26
11 Msila 22 5 2 15 20:34 17
12 USM Blida 22 2 4 16 13:35 10
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)