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El Kerma vs SC Ain Defla Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
(Penalty)
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2020/2021 game between El Kerma and SC Ain Defla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Kerma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
El Kerma
20%
Draws
0%
SC Ain Defla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Kerma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • El Kerma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans El Kerma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
El Kerma Clean Sheet 68%
SC Ain Defla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Kerma SC Ain Defla
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.11 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2021 Ligue 2
SC Ain Defla vs El Kerma
3:0
Apr 8, 2021 Ligue 2
El Kerma vs SC Ain Defla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Kerma 95 / 100
SC Ain Defla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Kerma SC Ain Defla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Kerma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Ain Defla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: SC Ain Defla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

El Kerma scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

El Kerma VS SC Ain Defla
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Kerma

(Home)
11 Jan
US Chaouia
2 : 1
El Kerma
03 Jan
El Kerma
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
26 Jun
SC Ain Defla
3 : 0
El Kerma
19 Jun
El Kerma
1 : 1
ASM Oran
05 Jun
Remchi
0 : 0
El Kerma
Page 1 of 6

SC Ain Defla

(Away)
21 May
SC Ain Defla
2 : 5
ES Ben Aknoun
14 May
Ain Ouessara
3 : 0
SC Ain Defla
07 May
SC Ain Defla
1 : 5
JSM Tiaret
23 Apr
Saida
5 : 0
SC Ain Defla
16 Apr
SC Ain Defla
2 : 6
RC Kouba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelghoum 22 12 7 3 32:18 43
2 Annaba 22 11 8 3 24:8 41
3 US Chaouia 22 10 8 4 35:21 38
4 Khenchela 22 10 8 4 27:20 38
5 Telaghema 22 10 4 8 27:18 34
6 MO Constantine 22 9 6 7 27:28 33
7 CA Batna 22 9 5 8 22:19 32
8 Eulma 22 8 6 8 23:24 30
9 Khroub 22 5 7 10 20:31 22
10 Ouled Djellal 22 5 5 12 24:29 20
11 MSP Batna 22 5 2 15 20:36 17
12 Tadjenant 22 4 2 16 24:53 14
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oued Sly 22 15 5 2 36:13 50
2 CR Temouchent 22 14 4 4 31:14 46
3 ASM Oran 22 12 6 4 30:17 42
4 JSM Tiaret 22 11 6 5 38:23 39
5 Saida 22 9 4 9 30:28 31
6 Ain Ouessara 22 7 6 9 30:33 27
7 El Khemis 22 8 3 11 15:21 27
8 SC Ain Defla 22 6 7 9 25:35 25
9 RC Oued Rhiou 22 6 5 11 16:29 23
10 Remchi 22 6 4 12 24:33 22
11 El Kerma 22 4 9 9 26:32 21
12 OM Arzew 22 2 5 15 21:44 11
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arba 22 12 5 5 30:15 41
2 Bejaia 22 12 5 5 29:22 41
3 MO Bejaia 22 10 8 4 22:11 38
4 RC Kouba 22 8 9 5 24:21 33
5 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 22 8 9 5 22:22 33
6 Harrach 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
7 ES Ben Aknoun 22 7 10 5 22:14 31
8 Beni Thour 22 8 5 9 28:26 29
9 Lakhdaria 22 7 8 7 18:16 29
10 Amal Bou Saada 22 8 2 12 26:35 26
11 Msila 22 5 2 15 20:34 17
12 USM Blida 22 2 4 16 13:35 10
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)