Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Leonardo Costa

Independiente Chivilcoy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

El Linqueno play Independiente Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, El Linqueno averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Independiente Chivilcoy averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, El Linqueno won 2, Independiente Chivilcoy won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for El Linqueno and 0.75 for Independiente Chivilcoy. This points to a El Linqueno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

El Linqueno

35%

Draws

32%

Independiente Chivilcoy

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: El Linqueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

El Linqueno picked up more points recently compared to Independiente Chivilcoy.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

El Linqueno Clean Sheet 27%

Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	El Linqueno	Independiente Chivilcoy
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	7
Draws	9	11
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.86	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Torneo Federal

Independiente Chivilcoy vs El Linqueno

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal

El Linqueno vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Mar 23, 2025 Torneo Federal

Independiente Chivilcoy vs El Linqueno

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Aug 18, 2024 Torneo Federal

El Linqueno vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

May 25, 2024 Torneo Federal

Independiente Chivilcoy vs El Linqueno

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Linqueno 35 / 100

Independiente Chivilcoy 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

El Linqueno Independiente Chivilcoy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: El Linqueno or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

El Linqueno attacking → ← attacking Independiente Chivilcoy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Linqueno scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Independiente Chivilcoy let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

El Linqueno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Independiente Chivilcoy lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 32

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9