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El Mansoura vs Al Nasr Cairo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Mansoura host Al Nasr Cairo in the Division 2 A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: El Mansoura at 0.86 goals for, 0.86 against; Al Nasr Cairo at 0.97 for, 1.34 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.81 - 1.06) back El Mansoura to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
El Mansoura
30%
Draws
39%
Al Nasr Cairo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nasr Cairo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr Cairo have won more games recently than El Mansoura.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Al Nasr Cairo taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
El Mansoura Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Cairo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Mansoura Al Nasr Cairo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Mansoura 28 / 100
Al Nasr Cairo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Mansoura Al Nasr Cairo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Cairo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Mansoura scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Nasr Cairo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

El Mansoura went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Al Nasr Cairo registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Mansoura VS Al Nasr Cairo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Mansoura

(Home)
01 Oct
El Mansoura
2 : 0
Masar
24 Sept
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat
2 : 0
El Mansoura
17 Sept
El Mansoura
1 : 1
Team FC
11 Sept
Tersana
1 : 1
El Mansoura
03 Sept
El Mansoura
2 : 0
Kahrabaa Ismailia
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr Cairo

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Nasr Cairo
1 : 1
Proxy
01 Oct
La Viena
1 : 3
Al Nasr Cairo
24 Sept
Al Nasr Cairo
3 : 1
Al Sekka
17 Sept
Tanta
1 : 0
Al Nasr Cairo
10 Sept
Al Nasr Cairo
2 : 0
Dayrout
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haras El Hodood 7 5 2 0 10:2 17
2 Kahrabaa Ismailia 7 5 1 1 13:4 16
3 Masar 7 5 1 1 13:5 16
4 WE Sports Club 7 5 0 2 11:5 15
5 Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat 7 4 2 1 9:4 14
6 Pharco FC 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
7 Al Nasr Cairo 7 3 3 1 10:5 12
8 Tersana 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
9 El Mansoura 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
10 Al Sekka 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
11 El Daklyeh 7 2 3 2 5:7 9
12 Baladiyat El Mahalla 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
13 Tanta 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
14 El Entag El Harby 7 1 4 2 11:10 7
15 Team FC 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
16 El Ismaily 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
17 La Viena 7 0 3 4 4:9 3
18 Proxy 7 1 0 6 2:10 3
19 Delta United 7 0 2 5 5:11 2
20 Dayrout 7 0 2 5 2:15 2
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