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EL Nacional vs San Antonio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EL Nacional host San Antonio in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: EL Nacional at 0.38 goals for, 2.13 against; San Antonio at 0.88 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, EL Nacional have won 0 to San Antonio's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.50) point toward San Antonio. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
EL Nacional
28%
Draws
50%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Antonio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • EL Nacional haven't matched San Antonio's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on San Antonio taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 16%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EL Nacional San Antonio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs EL Nacional
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EL Nacional 23 / 100
San Antonio 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EL Nacional San Antonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EL Nacional's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

San Antonio let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

EL Nacional went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EL Nacional VS San Antonio
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EL Nacional

(Home)
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Jun
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
07 Jun
CD Cuenca Juniors
4 : 1
EL Nacional
Page 1 of 7

San Antonio

(Away)
22 Jul
San Antonio
0 : 0
Cumbaya
16 Jul
Atletico FC
4 : 1
San Antonio
11 Jul
San Antonio
1 : 1
Dep. Santo Domingo
03 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Jun
San Antonio
4 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7San Antonio1849520:2021
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)