Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EL Nacional vs San Antonio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Landazury J.

AI Match Summary

San Antonio in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Antonio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
EL Nacional
30%
Draws
23%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EL Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • EL Nacional haven't matched San Antonio's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on EL Nacional taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EL Nacional San Antonio
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs San Antonio
0:1
May 24, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs EL Nacional
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EL Nacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Antonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Landazury J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EL Nacional 59 / 100
San Antonio 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EL Nacional San Antonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

San Antonio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

EL Nacional scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

EL Nacional VS San Antonio
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EL Nacional

(Home)
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
05 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
29 Aug
Gualaceo
3 : 0
EL Nacional
20 Aug
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
EL Nacional
Page 1 of 6

San Antonio

(Away)
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
20 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)