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El Palo vs CD Baza

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Palo play CD Baza in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, El Palo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. CD Baza averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, El Palo won 2, CD Baza won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for El Palo and 1.31 for CD Baza. This points to a El Palo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
El Palo
39%
Draws
30%
CD Baza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • El Palo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CD Baza.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
El Palo Clean Sheet 18%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo CD Baza
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs CD Baza
2:1
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs El Palo
2:1
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs CD Baza
4:1
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs El Palo
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 32 / 100
CD Baza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo CD Baza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo scored in 73% of their last 40 games.

CD Baza let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

El Palo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Baza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Palo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mancha36208853:2668
2Motril361812654:2466
3El Palo361961159:4463
4Almeria B361710962:3761
5CD Ronda361791064:5160
6Malaga B361611956:4459
7Comarca361761352:3457
8Ciudad de Vicar361314952:4853
9Loja3613101342:4049
10Antequera3611141143:3847
11Velez361451750:5247
12CD Alhaurino361291553:5445
13Adra361291547:5945
14Santa Fe361181740:5541
15UD Carboneras361081843:6338
16Huetor Tajar361152044:6738
17CD Baza369101736:5437
18Arenas Armilla36981933:6335
19Ejido 21973921:2224
20Vera CD19171117:4610