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El Palo vs Churriana de la Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Martinez F.
35' Event
Avila R.

AI Match Summary

Churriana de la Vega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Churriana de la Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Palo
44%
Draws
20%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • El Palo haven't matched Churriana de la Vega's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
El Palo Clean Sheet 23%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Churriana de la Vega
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs El Palo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Palo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avila R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 37 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo Churriana de la Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Churriana de la Vega let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

El Palo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Palo VS Churriana de la Vega
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Palo

(Home)
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1
El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1
Motril
Page 1 of 6

Churriana de la Vega

(Away)
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
UD San Pedro
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)