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El Palo vs UD Carboneras

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Palo play UD Carboneras in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011. El Palo are favorites here. Recently, El Palo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. UD Carboneras averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, El Palo won 4, UD Carboneras won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 18, 2012 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for El Palo and 1.31 for UD Carboneras. This points to a El Palo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
El Palo
6%
Draws
4%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: El Palo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • El Palo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UD Carboneras.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for El Palo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
El Palo Clean Sheet 18%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo UD Carboneras
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 20 30
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs UD Carboneras
3:0
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs El Palo
0:3
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs UD Carboneras
3:3
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs El Palo
1:2
Apr 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs UD Carboneras
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 85 / 100
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo UD Carboneras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo scored in 71% of their last 42 games.

UD Carboneras let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

El Palo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UD Carboneras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Palo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comarca382310557:2979
2Alhaurin382212458:2378
3Loja382111661:3574
4Malaga B382010862:3570
5CD Ronda381911868:3768
6Maracena381712951:3763
7Antequera381881272:4762
8Motril3815131050:3358
9Marbella381681458:4656
10Martos3814111338:4053
11Mancha3811161149:4249
12Huetor Tajar3812101636:5146
13El Palo381371857:6546
14Ciudad de Vicar3811121546:5545
15Velez3811111656:5744
16UD Carboneras3810101857:7140
17Melilla B387131840:7134
18CD Baza388102029:5834
19CD Alhaurino38792238:5830
20Adra38063213:1066