Sport Picks
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX 
Match Events
8'
8'
Dorsey L.
Assist: Kocevski J.
12'
12'
Kocevski J.
14'
14'
Eisner W.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: El Paso Locomotive
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and El Paso Locomotive come out ahead of FC Tulsa on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 20%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:1
Jul 19, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:1
May 11, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Avila R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Dorsey L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Paso Locomotive 31 / 100
FC Tulsa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Paso Locomotive FC Tulsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Paso Locomotive scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: El Paso Locomotive remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
FC Tulsa has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
El Paso Locomotive VS FC Tulsa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
El Paso Locomotive
(Home) 11 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Orange County SC
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Orange County SC
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
FC Tulsa
(Away) 09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
