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El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX
El Paso Locomotive Logo

El Paso Locomotive

4 - 1
FT
Loudoun United Logo

Loudoun United

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rubin R.
17' Event
Aboukoura A.
Assist: Aman R.
30' Event
Rubin R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
El Paso Locomotive
20%
Draws
33%
Loudoun United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Paso Locomotive come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • El Paso Locomotive have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 20%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive Loudoun United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United
1:2
May 10, 2024 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs El Paso Locomotive
0:2
May 14, 2023 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs El Paso Locomotive
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sainte C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Loudoun United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboukoura A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 32 / 100
Loudoun United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive Loudoun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Loudoun United let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

El Paso Locomotive went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS Loudoun United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
11 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Orange County SC
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

Loudoun United

(Away)
10 Oct
Miami FC
0 : 2
Loudoun United
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4
Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1
Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)