Sport Picks
El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX 
Match Events
9'
9'
Rubin R.
Assist: Farkarlun B.
34'
34'
Coronado R.
46'
46'
Sub
Garcia D. In: de Vicente J.
Out: Garcia D.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between El Paso Locomotive and Oakland Roots finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Paso Locomotive
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- El Paso Locomotive carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on El Paso Locomotive taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 20%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Paso Locomotive | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots
1:0
May 10, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots
3:1
Jun 8, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Jun 20, 2024 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Oakland Roots Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Paso Locomotive 49 / 100
Oakland Roots 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Paso Locomotive Oakland Roots
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Paso Locomotive scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Oakland Roots let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
El Paso Locomotive went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
El Paso Locomotive VS Oakland Roots
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
El Paso Locomotive
(Home) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 3
Oakland Roots
(Away) 04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
