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El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
0 - 0
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Paso Locomotive host Orange County SC in the USL Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. El Paso Locomotive have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Orange County SC's 1.28 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Orange County SC slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward El Paso Locomotive. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
El Paso Locomotive
20%
Draws
23%
Orange County SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Paso Locomotive come out ahead of Orange County SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives El Paso Locomotive a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 20%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive Orange County SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 USL Cup
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC
0:3
Oct 17, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 85 / 100
Orange County SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive Orange County SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Orange County SC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: El Paso Locomotive remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS Orange County SC
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1
Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6

Orange County SC

(Away)
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
4 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)