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El Paso Locomotive vs San Diego Loyal Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Championship 2023 Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Knudsen P. In: Gomez A.
Out: Knudsen P.
46'
Sub
Bodily B. In: Perez A.
Out: Bodily B.
55'
Guzman C.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2023 game between El Paso Locomotive and San Diego Loyal finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
El Paso Locomotive
20%
Draws
35%
San Diego Loyal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Paso Locomotive come out ahead of San Diego Loyal on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 18%
San Diego Loyal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive San Diego Loyal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2023 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs San Diego Loyal
0:0
Apr 30, 2023 USL Championship
San Diego Loyal vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Aug 21, 2022 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs San Diego Loyal
1:3
Apr 3, 2022 USL Championship
San Diego Loyal vs El Paso Locomotive
3:2
Aug 13, 2020 USL Championship
San Diego Loyal vs El Paso Locomotive
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 31 / 100
San Diego Loyal 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive San Diego Loyal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

San Diego Loyal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: El Paso Locomotive remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1
Loudoun United
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 7

San Diego Loyal

(Away)
23 Oct
San Diego Loyal
3 : 4
Phoenix Rising
15 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2
San Diego Loyal
08 Oct
San Diego Loyal
4 : 2
Oakland Roots
05 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 0
San Diego Loyal
01 Oct
San Diego Loyal
4 : 1
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 34 19 10 5 50:29 67
2 Tampa Bay 34 19 6 9 60:39 63
3 Charleston 34 17 8 9 47:43 59
4 Memphis 901 34 14 10 10 59:53 52
5 Louisville City 34 14 8 12 41:44 50
6 Indy Eleven 34 13 10 11 46:38 49
7 Birmingham Legion 34 14 4 16 44:53 46
8 Miami FC 34 11 8 15 43:44 41
9 Detroit City 34 11 8 15 30:39 41
10 FC Tulsa 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
11 Loudoun United 34 7 4 23 36:61 25
12 Hartford Athletic 34 4 6 24 40:79 18
Promotion - USL Championship 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sacramento Republic 34 18 10 6 51:26 64
2 Orange County SC 34 17 6 11 46:39 57
3 San Diego Loyal 34 16 9 9 61:43 57
4 San Antonio FC 34 14 14 6 63:38 56
5 Colorado Springs 34 16 5 13 49:42 53
6 Phoenix Rising 34 12 12 10 54:41 48
7 El Paso Locomotive 34 13 8 13 41:51 47
8 New Mexico 34 13 7 14 51:49 46
9 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 34 10 13 11 43:48 43
10 Oakland Roots 34 11 9 14 45:48 42
11 Monterey Bay 34 11 8 15 42:53 41
12 Las Vegas Lights 34 3 10 21 36:66 19
Promotion - USL Championship 2023 (Play Offs)