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El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Gimenez F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between El Porvenir and Juventud Unida San Miguel finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventud Unida San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
El Porvenir
28%
Draws
50%
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Juventud Unida San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Porvenir come out ahead of Juventud Unida San Miguel on wins alone.
  • Juventud Unida San Miguel are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 24%
Juventud Unida San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir Juventud Unida San Miguel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 18 11
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera C
Juventud Unida San Miguel vs El Porvenir
1:0
May 4, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Primera D
El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Primera D
Juventud Unida San Miguel vs El Porvenir
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Juventud Unida San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir 25 / 100
Juventud Unida San Miguel 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir Juventud Unida San Miguel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud Unida San Miguel has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

El Porvenir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: El Porvenir scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

El Porvenir VS Juventud Unida San Miguel
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir

(Home)
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0
El Porvenir
11 Jul
El Porvenir
0 : 0
Club Lujan
05 Jul
General Lamadrid
1 : 1
El Porvenir
27 Jun
El Porvenir
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
13 Jun
El Porvenir
0 : 1
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

Juventud Unida San Miguel

(Away)
12 Jul
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 0
CA Lugano
05 Jul
Sacachispas
1 : 0
Juventud Unida San Miguel
27 Jun
Juventud Unida San Miguel
3 : 0
Argentino de Rosario
14 Jun
Juventud Unida San Miguel
2 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
08 Jun
Berazategui
2 : 1
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Mercedes2188522:1132
3Berazategui2088423:1532
4CA Lugano2188525:1932
5Estrella Del Sur2087522:1731
6CSR Espanol2086626:1830
7Puerto Nuevo2179518:1930
8Victoriano Arenas21610517:1328
9Leandro N. Alem2075824:3326
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1957718:1922
11Defensores de Cambaceres2057815:2122
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2131179:1820
13Argentino de Rosario21212719:2618
14Deportivo Paraguayo20371010:2616
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canuelas2199323:1336
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Deportivo Espanol21710418:1431
4Leones de Rosario2078519:1929
5Yupanqui2077624:2128
6General Lamadrid2077618:2028
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas2067716:1825
10Central Cordoba (Rosario)2058714:1523
11CSD Central Ballester1964918:2122
12Deportivo Muniz2149815:2021
13Claypole1956815:2321
14Fenix20551013:2120
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)