Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Salas D.
7' Event
Salas D.
36' Event
Zanzi I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between El Porvenir and Sportivo Barracas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Porvenir
30%
Draws
34%
Sportivo Barracas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Porvenir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • El Porvenir haven't matched Sportivo Barracas's recent run of results.
  • El Porvenir are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Barracas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir Sportivo Barracas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 18 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas
2:2
Aug 9, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir
0:0
Nov 20, 2023 Primera D
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas
1:0
Aug 6, 2023 Primera D
Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sportivo Barracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanzi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vidal N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir 46 / 100
Sportivo Barracas 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir Sportivo Barracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: El Porvenir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sportivo Barracas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: El Porvenir scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Porvenir VS Sportivo Barracas
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir

(Home)
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0
El Porvenir
11 Jul
El Porvenir
0 : 0
Club Lujan
05 Jul
General Lamadrid
1 : 1
El Porvenir
27 Jun
El Porvenir
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
13 Jun
El Porvenir
0 : 1
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Barracas

(Away)
17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2
Sportivo Barracas
13 Jul
Fenix
2 : 1
Sportivo Barracas
06 Jul
Sportivo Barracas
2 : 3
Yupanqui
29 Jun
Sportivo Barracas
2 : 0
Club Lujan
15 Jun
Sportivo Barracas
2 : 0
General Lamadrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Mercedes2188522:1132
3Berazategui2088423:1532
4CA Lugano2188525:1932
5Estrella Del Sur2087522:1731
6CSR Espanol2086626:1830
7Puerto Nuevo2179518:1930
8Victoriano Arenas21610517:1328
9Leandro N. Alem2075824:3326
10Juventud Unida San Miguel2067721:2025
11Defensores de Cambaceres2157916:2422
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2131179:1820
13Argentino de Rosario21212719:2618
14Deportivo Paraguayo20371010:2616
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Lujan20106425:1536
2Canuelas2199323:1336
3Deportivo Espanol21710418:1431
4Leones de Rosario2078519:1929
5General Lamadrid2178618:2029
6Yupanqui2077624:2128
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas2067716:1825
10Central Cordoba (Rosario)2058714:1523
11CSD Central Ballester20641019:2422
12Claypole2057815:2322
13Deportivo Muniz2149815:2021
14Fenix20551013:2120
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)